Currency
Overview
Although the FX market is the largest financial market in the world with a daily
average turnover of approximately US $1.5 trillion, a surge in volume and enormous
growth has also taken place in the currency futures markets as institutions are
accessing different venues of FX liquidity.
By utilizing our high-end institutional trading systems and front-end solutions,
exporters, importers, hedge funds, non-banking institutions and speculators alike
can take advantage of this alternative venue of FX liquidity and use the currency
futures markets to manage foreign exchange risk, gain price improvement on trades,
achieve lower trading costs and conduct their cross-border transactions more efficiently
and securely.
As world currencies increase or decrease in relation to other currencies, a multitude
of economic & political forces affect the international currency markets such as:
political stability, economic climate (depressions, recessions and expansions),
central bank or government intervention, changes in interest rates, money supply
growth and inflation. By using our advanced front-end trading systems, our clients
can have a competitive edge against many factors that contribute to foreign exchange
risk:
- Floating Exchange Rates: In a floating exchange rate environment,
the exchange rate responds to the flow of imports and exports, the flow of capital,
relative inflation rates and more. Often, limits are placed on exchange rate fluctuations
according to government policies.
- Merchandise Trade Balance: One factor affecting the exchange rate
between currencies is the merchandise trade balance. This is the net difference
between the value of merchandise being exported and imported into a particular country.
For example, the net difference between the Canadian demand for US dollars to buy
American merchandise, and the supply of Canadian dollars affected by the Americans'
purchase of Canadian merchandise, is the merchandise trade balance between the two
countries.
- Flow of funds to pay for stocks and bonds: The flow of funds between
countries to pay for stocks and bonds also affects the currency exchange rate between
countries. However, in the near term, capital flows are greatly influenced by yield
differentials.
- Yield differentials and their affect on currency values: Yield
differentials are the difference between interest rates in various countries and
how it affects currency values. All else being equal it stands to reason that a
higher yield on German securities (compared to American securities) would make German
securities more attractive. What's more, an increase in German yields would raise
the flow of U.S. dollars into German securities, and decrease the outflow of Deutsche
marks to American securities. This increased flow of funds into Germany would lower
the value of the U.S. dollar and increase the value of the Deutsche mark. Hence,
the Deutsche mark to U.S. dollar ratio, as it is represented in the foreign exchange
market, would potentially decrease.
- Rate of inflation: Consumers try to avoid the eroding effect inflation
has on their purchasing power. Consequently, goods from countries with a low inflation
rate become more attractive than the goods from countries with higher inflation.
In turn, the currency from the lower inflation country rises in value, while the
currency from the higher inflation country falls in value. Both the inflation factor
and the purchasing power of the currencies directly impact currency exchange rates.
For example, if the United States is experiencing lower inflation than its trading
partner Germany, the EURO/USD ratio would rise to reflect the growing price level
in Germany relative to the United States. This factor is rooted in the concept of
purchasing power parity. It holds that, over the long run, a currency exchange rate
adjusts to reflect the difference in price levels between countries.
Whether you are an exporter, importer, hedge fund, global fund manager, non-banking
institutions, government agency or a speculator, QuikSilver can provide you with
access to the world's most important electronic and pit-traded currency futures
products:
- Euro Dollar
- Japanese Yen
- British Pound
- Australian Dollar
- Swiss Franc
- Canadian Dollar
- South African Rand
- Hungarian Forint
- Mexican Peso
- Polish Zloty
- Czech Koruna
- Brazilian Real
- Swedish Krona
Advantages
The Advantages of trading currency futures:
- Diversification: Currency futures can provide investors with a
well-balanced portfolio through diversification and low systematic risk. Price fluctuations
in currency futures have very low correlations with price movements in stock market
values and interest rates. This lack of any systematic relationship can lower portfolio
risk when the equities and interest rates are in a depressed state.
- 24-Hour Trading: Currency futures trade nearly 24-hours a day in
the CME Globex market or open out-cry trading pits.
- Highly Liquid: Investors can enter the currency futures markets
and exit positions efficiently, as they are one of the largest and most liquid markets
in the world. Currency futures markets can absorb trading volume and transaction
sizes that dwarf the capacity of many of the world’s equities markets.